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[Global News] Sixty days to beat Ebola or we are in an unprecedented situation

Started by Towelie, Oct 16, 2014, 08:48 AM

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Towelie




Quote from: news.sky.comThe UN says the ebola outbreak must be controlled within 60 days or else the world faces an "unprecedented" situation for which there is no plan.

The United Nations made the stark warning as it warned that the disease "is running faster than us and it is winning the race".

Nearly 9,000 cases of ebola have been reported so far in West Africa, including 4,447 deaths.

"The WHO advises within 60 days we must ensure 70% of infected people are in a care facility and 70% of burials are done without causing further infection," said Anthony Banbury, the UN's deputy ebola coordinator.
Video: '10,000 New Ebola Cases Per Week'

"We need to do that within 60 days from 1 October. If we reach these targets then we can turn this epidemic around."

But Mr Banbury told the UN Security Council the 70% target was becoming harder to meet as new infections stack up.

He urged: "We either stop ebola now or we face an entirely unprecedented situation for which we do not have a plan."

The UN's Unmeer emergency mission is following a four-pronged plan to fight ebola.

Identify and trace contacts; manage cases; ensure safe burials and provide people with information to protect themselves.
Video: Screening for Ebola at UK Borders

"If we fail at any of these, we fail entirely," warned Mr Banbury.

The World Health Organisation (WHO) earlier said there could be 10,000 new cases of ebola per week within two months.

WHO assistant director general Bruce Aylward told a news conference the total was expected to top 9,000 by the end of this week.

He said the death rate from the current outbreak had risen to 70% from about 50%.

When asked how the situation could develop in the next two months, he warned: "We anticipate the number of cases occurring per week by that time to be somewhere between 5,000 and 10,000 per week.
Video: On Board Ebola Ship RFA Argus

"It could be higher, it could be lower, but somewhere in that ball park."   

Some 95% of the cases are occurring in the same limited number of districts of Liberia, Sierra Leone and Guinea which were affected a month ago, he said.

Dr Aylward said it was "too early to say" whether this meant that the epidemic was slowing down.

The plateau in reported infections may simply be due to limitations in the ability of authorities in the region to check and record cases, he said.

Dr Aylward said there were "positive" signs of a slow down in the rate of new cases in northern Liberia and Guinea, probably due to behaviour changes among the local population.
Video: Liberia Gripped By Ebola Virus Fear

But he warned: "This is ebola, this is a horrible, unforgiving disease - you've got to get to zero.

"With a bit of change in the behaviour of populations, with some burials happening safely, with a little bit more case management and a couple of new centres opening, you are going to slow this down very quickly."


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Eternal_Jamie

Glad to see the UN getting in on the scare mongering as well, was getting bored of hearing indavidual governments do it.

Towelie

Quote from: Eternal_Jamie on Oct 16, 2014, 10:52 AM
Glad to see the UN getting in on the scare mongering as well, was getting bored of hearing indavidual governments do it.
It's not scare mongering at all it's a very real situation and sadly due to the incompetence of the CDC it's starting to spread in the US too.

Did you know a nurse travelled on an airline with hundreds of other passengers after calling the CDC and saying she thinks she has ebola because she had a high fever but the CDC said nah, it's fine you don't meet the criterias for Ebola and when she got in the country she was diagnosed with ebola?


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Eternal_Jamie

Should have said it only appears as scaremongering for the risk of it spreading on a real scale beyond western Africa, would agree it is a very real threat/issue there. Yeah I know, incompetence in the handling of it is concerning but it doesn't seem like there's any real evidence beyond speculation it is going to become a more widespread epidemic.

Cr1_98

This is a real, very bad situation yes but the reporting doesn't help peoples attitudes towards it especially when combined with things like "Screening at UK borders "A joke"". I think the news should be focusing on educating people at what to do and trying to get support for more desperately needed aid.

Adam_Sawg

Quote from: Towelie on Oct 16, 2014, 10:58 AM
Quote from: Eternal_Jamie on Oct 16, 2014, 10:52 AM
Glad to see the UN getting in on the scare mongering as well, was getting bored of hearing indavidual governments do it.
It's not scare mongering at all it's a very real situation and sadly due to the incompetence of the CDC it's starting to spread in the US too.

Did you know a nurse travelled on an airline with hundreds of other passengers after calling the CDC and saying she thinks she has ebola because she had a high fever but the CDC said nah, it's fine you don't meet the criterias for Ebola and when she got in the country she was diagnosed with ebola?

thats it! im moving out of US, i want to live! to play SFT moar!

emm10

UN will come up with a new plan before these 60 days are up. There have been so many problems similar to this, and they've prevented crises worst than this before.



onionboys

When flu season comes around, Not sure how but the flu will mix with Ebola to make it airborne.


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nyllekFTW

We need to shut down borders to countries, and allow no flights. All countries in my opinion need to essentially go into martial law and make sure it does not spread.

Eternal_Jamie

Quote from: nyllekFTW on Oct 18, 2014, 05:41 AM
We need to shut down borders to countries, and allow no flights. All countries in my opinion need to essentially go into martial law and make sure it does not spread.
Yes, let's overeact. Martial law seriously? Pretty illogical thing to do, would have a very negative affect on the situation.


And onion, source? Most experts are saying that will not happen. It'd be unprecedented for one as no human virus has transformed how it spreads.




nyllekFTW

Quote from: Eternal_Jamie on Oct 18, 2014, 12:29 PM
Quote from: nyllekFTW on Oct 18, 2014, 05:41 AM
We need to shut down borders to countries, and allow no flights. All countries in my opinion need to essentially go into martial law and make sure it does not spread.
Yes, let's overeact. Martial law seriously? Pretty illogical thing to do, would have a very negative affect on the situation.


And onion, source? Most experts are saying that will not happen. It'd be unprecedented for one as no human virus has transformed how it spreads.
Yeah, maybe the whole "martial law" thing is a bit extreme, but I still thin countries should close borders to prevent further spread to countries.



Quote from: krankenstein20 on Oct 19, 2014, 04:50 PM
what about the uk
What about canada? what about other countries that have not been infected?

8d2

Quote from: Godswarpawn on Oct 17, 2014, 10:42 PM
Thank goodness it's not airborne.

Fun fact: Ebola can ride dust particles. A single dust particle will give you the disease. Does that make you feel better?

FinalTest

Quote from: 8d2 on Oct 19, 2014, 05:20 PM
Quote from: Godswarpawn on Oct 17, 2014, 10:42 PM
Thank goodness it's not airborne.

Fun fact: Ebola can ride dust particles. A single dust particle will give you the disease. Does that make you feel better?
Ebola has a very short life outside of the body and the bodily fluids of an infected person would have to come in contact with that dust particle and not weight it down. Chance of being infected by dust: close to 0%.

ddude_stnom

Quote from: krankenstein20 on Oct 19, 2014, 04:50 PM
what about the uk

Despite what the press are saying, it is being controlled, just. Countries like Ivory Coast and Senegal, who border Ebola infected countries have managed to control the spread of the disease into their own country. The only real way of Ebola entering the UK is via air travel, and precautions have been put in place at major airports screening people who have been to West African countries. See here if you want more details; http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-29549722

The only Ebola case Britain has had to deal with was an aid worker, who contracted the disease in Sierra Leone, and was flown back to the UK for treatment. Luckily, he made a recovery, and the last I heard about it, he was going back to Ebola infected countries to help out in the aid work.

nyllekFTW does have a point though, as other countries (rest of the world) are facing the exact same problem as your own. Yes, you are bound to worry about your own country, but there are also another 193 countries on this planet as well (who have had no major outbreaks yet).

For the mean time, don't let this worry you. :P

If you want to know more about the disease, it can be found here: http://www.who.int/mediacentre/factsheets/fs103/en/

Toffenut

Scientist claim that by the end of this month, Ebola could reach France and the UK.
Ebola has a 75% chance if reaching France and a 50% chance if reaching Britain by the 24th if October. 

Eternal_Jamie

Quote from: Toffenut on Oct 19, 2014, 06:31 PM
Scientist claim that by the end of this month, Ebola could reach France and the UK.
Ebola has a 75% chance if reaching France and a 50% chance if reaching Britain by the 24th if October.
Source, and what does reaching mean, infecting a couple people or actively spreading throughout the country such as it is in countries already heavily infected?

Toffenut

Quote from: Eternal_Jamie on Oct 19, 2014, 06:45 PM
Quote from: Toffenut on Oct 19, 2014, 06:31 PM
Scientist claim that by the end of this month, Ebola could reach France and the UK.
Ebola has a 75% chance if reaching France and a 50% chance if reaching Britain by the 24th if October.
Source, and what does reaching mean, infecting a couple people or actively spreading throughout the country such as it is in countries already heavily infected?

Source was from one of my mothers friends who is a scientist. :3
And it just means like arriving and taking effect on people and then spreading.

rens0wntnoob

Quote from: Toffenut on Oct 19, 2014, 07:06 PM
Quote from: Eternal_Jamie on Oct 19, 2014, 06:45 PM
Quote from: Toffenut on Oct 19, 2014, 06:31 PM
Scientist claim that by the end of this month, Ebola could reach France and the UK.
Ebola has a 75% chance if reaching France and a 50% chance if reaching Britain by the 24th if October.
Source, and what does reaching mean, infecting a couple people or actively spreading throughout the country such as it is in countries already heavily infected?

Source was from one of my mothers friends who is a scientist. :3
And it just means like arriving and taking effect on people and then spreading.
what kind of scientist is she then?

Toffenut

Quote from: rens0wntnoob on Oct 19, 2014, 07:21 PM
Quote from: Toffenut on Oct 19, 2014, 07:06 PM
Quote from: Eternal_Jamie on Oct 19, 2014, 06:45 PM
Quote from: Toffenut on Oct 19, 2014, 06:31 PM
Scientist claim that by the end of this month, Ebola could reach France and the UK.
Ebola has a 75% chance if reaching France and a 50% chance if reaching Britain by the 24th if October.
Source, and what does reaching mean, infecting a couple people or actively spreading throughout the country such as it is in countries already heavily infected?

Source was from one of my mothers friends who is a scientist. :3
And it just means like arriving and taking effect on people and then spreading.
what kind of scientist is she then?

how da hell am i supposed to know! all i know is that he is a scientist, never really seen him :3

rens0wntnoob

Quote from: Toffenut on Oct 19, 2014, 07:26 PM
Quote from: rens0wntnoob on Oct 19, 2014, 07:21 PM
Quote from: Toffenut on Oct 19, 2014, 07:06 PM
Quote from: Eternal_Jamie on Oct 19, 2014, 06:45 PM
Quote from: Toffenut on Oct 19, 2014, 06:31 PM
Scientist claim that by the end of this month, Ebola could reach France and the UK.
Ebola has a 75% chance if reaching France and a 50% chance if reaching Britain by the 24th if October.
Source, and what does reaching mean, infecting a couple people or actively spreading throughout the country such as it is in countries already heavily infected?

Source was from one of my mothers friends who is a scientist. :3
And it just means like arriving and taking effect on people and then spreading.
what kind of scientist is she then?

how da hell am i supposed to know! all i know is that he is a scientist, never really seen him :3
so you're thinking he's speaking the truth because he's a scientist? it's just another person guessing when or what. don't think he tells the truth because he is a SCIENTIST.